The Walk Away

University of Arizona College of Law Professor Brent T. White has stirred quite a bit of controversy over his recent article in the Arizona Legal Studies entitled "Underwater and Not Walking Away: Shame, Fear and the Social Management of the Housing Crisis."  

His basic thesis is that despite the increasing number of homeowners walking away from their underwater mortgages, most homeowners continue to try and hold on to their homes even when it does not make economic sense to do so.  He suggests that homeowners choose to try and hold on to their homes to avoid the shame and guilt of foreclosure and because of the  "exaggerated anxiety" over the perceived consequences of a foreclosure created by "social control agents."  In short, he believes that underwater homeowners (in Arizona and California) are not knowingly making bad choices, they just can not "cognitively grasp" that they would be better off financially by simply walking away.  At the end of the day, argues White, many more underwater homeowners should be walking away from their mortgage obligations. 

As a justification for his thesis, White suggests that the "norms governing homeowner behavior stand in sharp contrast to norms governing lenders, who seek to maximize profits or minimize losses irrespective of concerns of morality or social responsibility. This norm asymmetry leads to distributional inequalities in which individual homeowners shoulder a disproportionate burden from the housing collapse."  

White argues that there are costs associated with walking away, but they are not outweighed by the financial benefits of a "strategic default."  While White's thesis is controversial, as it applies to Arizona borrowers, he is correct.  Arizona's anti-deficiency laws are incredibly broad and protect the large majority of borrowers who are now trying to keep pace with a subdivision home that is severely underwater.  Arizona's anti-deficiency statute (A.R.S. Section 33-814(G)) prevents lenders from pursuing a deficiency (the difference between the amount owed by the borrower and the price bid at a trustee's sale) against the borrower.  While a borrower's credit rating will undoubtedly take a severe beating from a foreclosure and the borrower may have to wait several years to obtain a federally guaranteed loan, for many underwater borrowers, the calculus leads to the undeniable conclusion that walking away makes the most financial sense. 

As for the moral aspect of walking away, White reasons that the overriding message to borrowers is that they have a moral responsibility to pay off their obligation.  White counters this message by pointing out that lenders are operating amorally according to market norms and could have acted to protect themselves by following prudent underwriting practices.  White's final point is that  "it is time to take morals out of the picture and search for an equitable solution to the negative equity problem."  While White is correct in many respects, had lenders and borrowers employed a stronger sense of morals when it came to underwriting and borrowing, we might not have experienced such a severe market bubble and attendant bust. 

The Jumbo Wave

It seems that the small glimmer of hope that everyone is hoping for in the housing market is not likely to come anytime soon.  Mathew Padilla has posted an excellent blog article discussing that the discussion of another wave of foreclosure implies that the current wave has already receded.  Sam Khater, a senior economist with First American CoreLogic has stated: “To say there is a second wave implies the (current) wave has receded . . . I don’t see that the wave has receded.”

Call it what you will, the next foreclosure wave to hit will largely involve Pay Option ARMs.  Pay Option ARMs are adjustable rate mortgages on which the interest rate adjusts monthly and the payment adjusts annually, with borrowers offered options on how large a payment they will make. The options include interest-only, and a "minimum" payment that is usually less than the interest-only payment. The minimum payment option results in a growing loan balance, termed "negative amortization."  As Long and Foster's Ron Sitrin recently commented: because these loans "had negative amortization for so long, they can't refinance out of them and they cannot sell them because the loans are worth more than the properties themselves."

For the most part the expensive gated communities have avoided the impact of the current foreclosure wave, but its job loss consequences are coming home to roost in the upper income brackets.  This graph puts the Pay Option ARM problem in stark terms: 

As a recent post on Dr. Housing Bubble stated: "The Pay Option ARM is one of the most poorly construed mortgage product ever to face this planet. It was a pathetic attempt to allow a larger majority of Americans to have a piece of the great American credit ponzi scheme."  How's that for upbeat? 


Protecting Tenants at Foreclosure Act of 2009

On May 20, 2009, President Obama signed into law Senate Bill 896, also known as the "Helping Families Save Their Homes Act of 2009."  Section 702 of that Act - the "Protecting Tenants at Foreclosure Act" is very broad in scope and affects the ability of the new owner of certain foreclosure property (including Section 8 properties) to take immediate possession of that property. 

The new Act has effectively mandated a tenant-friendly "non-disturbance clause", common in commercial leases, into the residential landlord-tenant world.  The Act now requires landlords to provide tenants residing in foreclosed residential properties to be provided 90 days advance notice to vacate the property.  However, except where the purchaser intends to occupy a given property as the primary residence, the terms of any bona fide lease remains in effect.

A lease or tenancy must meet the following requirements to be a bona fide lease: (1) The tenant cannot be the mortgagor or the child, spouse, or parent of the mortgagor; (2) The lease or tenancy must be the result of an arms-length transaction, and; (3) The rent required under the lease cannot be substantially less than fair market rent for the property or the rent is subsidized by a Federal, State or local subsidy. 

This is a watershed change in the law and now provides residential tenants protections that, though common in commercial leases, rarely have been seen in the residential context.  It also brings the law a small step closer to the long-past English feudal system of attornment, whereby a a new landlord had to obtain the consent of the tenant before becoming the new landlord.  Such a system was abolished in 1705, but it is clear that the pendulum is swinging towards tenant protections.  In light of the massive foreclosure wave that has swept this country, it is not surprising to see such a change.  A lot of unsuspecting tenants were left holding the bag after their landlord lost the property to foreclosure.  For what it is worth though, such a change is temporary.  The Act sunsets at the end of 2012. 
 


 

 

Looks Like No Bankruptcy Foie Gras Power For Judges

When I hear the term "cram down" authority in the bankruptcy context, I keep picturing some poor mortgage lender warily stepping into a bankruptcy judge's chambers only to have a long metal pipe shoved down his throat until the lender is willing to give in on a loan modification.  Only a month ago it appeared that bankruptcy judges were on their way to wielding such foie gras power. 

While a "cram down" bill made it through the House of Representatives in March, Senate Bill 61 met fierce resistance and failed to muster the necessary votes to pass.  Brett Weiss, a bankruptcy attorney in Maryland, provides some excellent insight in his article as to why Senate Bill 61 bill could not pass despite President Obama's apparent 100-day mandate clout and a Democratically controlled Congress.  One is left to wonder why President Obama, who supported such "cram down" authority was unwilling to use some of his political capital to see this one through.

Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky seemed to echo the standard line being floated by the likes of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp., and Wells Fargo & Co, namely that the vote was "a bipartisan rejection of an interest-rate hike, which is exactly the wrong solution for jobs, homeowners and the economy." 

However, as Brett Weiss notes in his article, mortgage insurance was the real issue.  Mortgage insurance gives lenders a very strong incentive not to write down principal, and gives them more money if they foreclose, even where the property is sold at a significant loss, than to work to make the loan performing.  In the end it seems that saving the likes of the stronger financial institutions was more practical than forcing the likely failure of MGIC, RMIC and Genworth, mortgage insurers already on the ropes.

 

 

 

  

We're Not Leaving!!!

As the foreclosure wave has grown into a tsunami-like crisis, advocacy groups such as the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now (ACORN) have taken to the streets in campaigns to lobby legislators about implementing new regulations that will help stem the foreclosure crisis and curtail predatory lending.  When I left the Pima County courthouse yesterday, there was an ACORN protest taking place at the same time that a Trustee's Sale was going on.  An interesting contrast between ACORN's bullhorn calls to action and the trustee calling out bids. 

Unquestionably, the foreclosure epidemic has resulted in some very impassioned debate as to whether and how the government should act.  Rick Santelli's recent rant highlights just how impassioned this debate has become.  While Santelli's rant has garnered much of the media hype, Stuart Varney's recent interview with ACORN's Bertha Lewis demonstrates just how zealous some people have become at the prospect of the government aiding struggling homeowners, who many view as irresponsible.  Varney was incredulous at ACORN's suggestion that people on the verge of foreclosure should stay in their homes.

As always, the foreclosure epidemic is far more nuanced than many of the talking heads are willing to discuss.  Predatory lending certainly was in force and many people were not informed of what they were getting into.  Likewise, many, many people bought far more home than they could ever afford.  Only time will tell whether massive government intervention or the force of the market will prevail.